Intelligence Study on Failed Prediction of Nuclear Programs

Simple item page
dc.contributor.advisorMorag, Nadav
dc.creatorKelley, Christopher
dc.date.accessioned2018-04-26T18:18:34Z
dc.date.available2018-04-26T18:18:34Z
dc.date.created2018-05
dc.date.issued2018-04-13
dc.date.submittedMay 2018
dc.date.updated2018-04-26T18:19:06Z
dc.description.abstractThis thesis will address the problem of United States intelligence failing to predict the capabilities and first test of foreign nuclear programs. The research question addressed is did the United States make mistakes during any of the phase in the intelligence cycle that led to the failed prediction of the first successful nuclear test by the Soviet Union, PRC, and DPRK, or were the failed predictions due to outside problems? The methodology used in this study will consist of a structured, focused comparison between three case studies of the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics (USSR), Peoples Republic of China (PRC), and Democratic Peoples Republic of Korea (DPRK). In each case, efforts by the US intelligence will be divided into one of the five phases of the intelligence cycle. The data revealed that each case contained different failures that could have possibly caused the US to fail in predicting the capabilities and first test of each nuclear program. This study presents data from literature around intelligence failures, conceptualized in a new method, comparing the efforts of the US intelligence in three cases and drawing conclusions from presently declassified data.
dc.format.mimetypeapplication/pdf
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/20.500.11875/2357
dc.language.isoen
dc.subjectIntelligence
dc.subjectIntelligence Failure
dc.subjectNuclear Programs
dc.subjectUnion of Soviet Socialist Republics
dc.subjectPeople’s Republic of China
dc.subjectDemocratic People’s Republic of Korea
dc.titleIntelligence Study on Failed Prediction of Nuclear Programs
dc.typeThesis
dc.type.materialtext
thesis.degree.departmentSecurity Studies
thesis.degree.grantorSam Houston State University
thesis.degree.levelMasters
thesis.degree.nameMaster of Science

Files

Original bundle

Now showing 1 - 1 of 1
Thumbnail Image
Name:
KELLEY-THESIS-2018.pdf
Size:
320.62 KB
Format:
Adobe Portable Document Format
Download

License bundle

Now showing 1 - 2 of 2
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
LICENSE.txt
Size:
1.86 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Description:
Download
No Thumbnail Available
Name:
PROQUEST_LICENSE.txt
Size:
5.85 KB
Format:
Plain Text
Description:
Download

Collections

Electronic Theses and Dissertations